False Defeat
MTG · Portal Three Kingdoms · C · 4
Released 1999-05-03
$19.50
30-day forecast: $19.50
Live MTG price tracking, buyout detection, and price predictions for False Defeat on TCG Collector Tools.
Prices Across Marketplaces
TCGplayer (market)
$19.50
TCGplayer (mid)
$23.41
TCGplayer (low)
$19.50
Price Forecast
| Horizon | Forecast | vs Today |
|---|---|---|
| 7 days (stable) | $19.50 | +0.0% |
| 30 days (stable) | $19.50 | +0.0% |
| 90 days | $19.18 | -1.6% |
| 180 days | $19.18 | -1.6% |
| 1 year | $19.18 | -1.6% |
Confidence 56% · Calibrated 30-day range $17.82–$21.18 · vintage card · veryLow volatility
Our Forecast Track Record
What we predicted for this card, and what actually happened. We publish misses as well as hits. Anchored 2026-07-20 · at $19.50 · 8 days ago.
| Horizon | We predicted | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| Day 7 | $19.54 | $19.50 | -0.2% |
Signal Analysis
HOLD
Conviction 50/100 · Target $19.50 · Range $17.55–$21.45 · over 30d
Mixed signals. Monitor for clearer direction.
Recent Price History
$19.50
$19.50
$19.50
$19.50
$19.50
$19.50
$19.50
Frequently Asked Questions
How much is False Defeat worth?
False Defeat is currently $19.50 on TCGplayer for the Portal Three Kingdoms printing. Prices update daily from live marketplace data.
Is False Defeat going up or down in price?
Our 30-day forecast for False Defeat is $19.50, with a stable trend at 56% confidence.